1 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:14,400 Welcome back! In the previous lecture we discussed the importance of standardization in systems-of-systems. 2 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:20,770 Now, we'll focus on the interconnections. 3 00:00:20,770 --> 00:00:26,640 In tightly coupled interconnected systems, a disturbance happening in some part of the 4 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:30,290 system may have far reaching consequences. 5 00:00:30,290 --> 00:00:35,320 If the disturbance cannot be contained and remediated at the local level, 6 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:41,960 it will cascade through the network and affect the service level in a wide region. 7 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:47,190 This is what happens in a power blackout, and if such a complete blackout occurs, 8 00:00:47,190 --> 00:00:54,190 it is hard to restart the system again because of the tight couplings between subsystems. 9 00:00:54,940 --> 00:01:00,440 In countries where the supply of electricity cannot keep up with increasing demand, 10 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:07,600 system operators will try to prevent blackouts by planned demand curtailment in parts of the network. 11 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,170 This is what is called a brownout. 12 00:01:10,170 --> 00:01:15,210 The system operator may inform you that your neighborhood will be out of power for certain 13 00:01:15,210 --> 00:01:19,490 hours on certain days, and during the hours that your neighborhood 14 00:01:19,490 --> 00:01:26,700 is supplied, other neighborhoods will be curtailed. And you know from experience that 15 00:01:26,700 --> 00:01:31,000 being out of power severely limits you in doing the things you want to do 16 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:37,170 and I think all of us understand how detrimental it is to the economy. 17 00:01:37,170 --> 00:01:46,100 This is evident when you think about all the economic activities that depend on electricity. 18 00:01:46,300 --> 00:01:51,889 The electricity infrastructure is a so-called critical infrastructure. 19 00:01:51,889 --> 00:01:56,000 If malfunctioning, society and the economy will be disrupted. 20 00:01:56,000 --> 00:02:00,209 Electrified trains will come to a stand-still. 21 00:02:00,209 --> 00:02:03,679 At this point, let me take the notion of systems-of-systems 22 00:02:03,679 --> 00:02:07,599 to another level, that is, to the level of interconnections 23 00:02:07,599 --> 00:02:14,360 and interactions between infrastructures in different sectors. 24 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:17,870 The definition of critical infrastructure varies between countries, 25 00:02:17,870 --> 00:02:24,870 but in all cases includes electricity and telecommunications as "most" critical infrastructures, 26 00:02:24,900 --> 00:02:29,650 which all other critical infrastructures depend upon. 27 00:02:29,650 --> 00:02:33,090 Emergency services, financial services, 28 00:02:33,090 --> 00:02:38,510 public health services, agriculture and food supply and many other 29 00:02:38,510 --> 00:02:40,870 sectors, including government, 30 00:02:40,870 --> 00:02:47,799 cannot be maintained for any sustained period of time without electricity and telecommunication. 31 00:02:47,799 --> 00:02:54,799 However, electricity and telecom infrastructures themselves use resources that are, 32 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,469 in part, provided by other infrastructures. 33 00:02:58,469 --> 00:03:05,469 To supply telecom services, the telecommunication system uses electricity, 34 00:03:05,890 --> 00:03:10,849 water and natural gas, to name just a few of the required infrastructure 35 00:03:10,849 --> 00:03:12,209 related services. 36 00:03:12,209 --> 00:03:18,200 At the same time, the electricity infrastructure uses telecom services 37 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:27,519 but it also uses water, to name few of the resources that are vital to the electricity infrastructure. 38 00:03:27,519 --> 00:03:31,959 In other words, there is a high level of interdependency between 39 00:03:31,959 --> 00:03:37,540 infrastructure systems across different sectors. 40 00:03:37,540 --> 00:03:41,420 These interdependencies come in various types: 41 00:03:41,420 --> 00:03:48,049 Physical (or functional) interdependencies exist when resources are exchanged: when the 42 00:03:48,049 --> 00:03:54,870 resources produced by some infrastructure are used by another infrastructure to produce 43 00:03:54,870 --> 00:04:00,319 its own resources and the other way around. 44 00:04:00,319 --> 00:04:07,319 Geographic interdependencies occur as a consequence of geographic proximity between infrastructures, 45 00:04:07,319 --> 00:04:14,319 so that a problem (for example a fire or a pipeline burst) in one infrastructure can 46 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:18,269 adversely affect other infrastructure. 47 00:04:18,269 --> 00:04:24,200 Digital interdependencies are related to the exchange of data on computer systems, 48 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:28,000 or to sharing data on control systems. 49 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:33,500 And then we have logical interdependencies and organizational dependencies, 50 00:04:33,500 --> 00:04:39,900 which are related to organizational context or to market realities. 51 00:04:39,970 --> 00:04:48,300 The web of interdependencies between critical and not-so-critical infrastructures creates 52 00:04:48,300 --> 00:04:54,110 a highly complex system-of-systems, in which the failure of a single element or 53 00:04:54,110 --> 00:05:00,190 a single resource may cause a domino effect that affects all critical infrastructures 54 00:05:00,190 --> 00:05:06,290 in a region and could bring the entire region to a stand-still. 55 00:05:06,290 --> 00:05:11,690 Many governments have been working and are still working on strategies to reduce their 56 00:05:11,690 --> 00:05:16,600 vulnerability to outages of critical infrastructures. 57 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:24,640 Critical functions such as hospitals are very well aware of their dependence on electricity 58 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:31,190 and have installed backup generation capacity, such as batteries or diesel fueled generators, 59 00:05:31,190 --> 00:05:35,630 to keep going in the event of a power blackout. 60 00:05:35,630 --> 00:05:43,900 However, in the case of a prolonged outage, the supply of diesel will become a bottleneck. 61 00:05:44,930 --> 00:05:51,370 You can imagine that a study of those interdependencies, from first order to second order interdependencies 62 00:05:51,370 --> 00:05:54,420 and so on, is a hell of a job, 63 00:05:54,420 --> 00:05:59,000 and that these interdependencies vary widely between different locations. 64 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:04,650 For example, whereas in some places, such as in the Netherlands, the entire drinking 65 00:06:04,650 --> 00:06:11,150 water system needs electrical pumps, it is gravity based in other places, 66 00:06:11,150 --> 00:06:16,100 and such places would therefore be less vulnerable to power outages. 67 00:06:16,100 --> 00:06:21,660 at least as far as drinking water supply is concerned. 68 00:06:21,660 --> 00:06:27,880 The vulnerability of the system-of-infrastructure systems can be reduced in many ways, 69 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:33,160 for example by keeping strategic reserves of critical resources, 70 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:38,240 by building redundancy in critical conversion units (for example by installing 71 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:42,000 parallel units, with one always in the stand-by mode), 72 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:46,570 or by building redundancy in the transportation network in such a way that, 73 00:06:46,570 --> 00:06:54,300 if one path gets blocked, the service can still be delivered through an alternative pathway. 74 00:06:54,310 --> 00:07:03,300 The latter strategy refers to the network topology, about which you will learn more next weeks. 75 00:07:04,190 --> 00:07:10,210 Please note that all these measures require substantial investment, 76 00:07:10,210 --> 00:07:16,250 which makes it unlikely that such measures will be taken just for the sake of a very 77 00:07:16,250 --> 00:07:23,150 low probability event, even if the consequences may be disastrous. 78 00:07:23,150 --> 00:07:28,440 The system-of-systems character of infrastructure systems, 79 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:35,330 both within and across infrastructure sectors, implies that strategies to avoid or recover 80 00:07:35,330 --> 00:07:40,040 from a breakdown require a multitude of actors to interact, 81 00:07:40,040 --> 00:07:46,050 including infrastructure owners and operators, producers of infrastructure resources, 82 00:07:46,050 --> 00:07:51,750 service providers and government. 83 00:07:51,750 --> 00:07:56,750 Some of these actors will probably be based in the private sector, 84 00:07:56,750 --> 00:08:00,940 others in the public sector, implying that they are subject to different 85 00:08:00,940 --> 00:08:05,340 incentive systems and possibly different laws. 86 00:08:05,340 --> 00:08:12,340 Especially since most infrastructure providers are incentivized to pursue their own economic interest, 87 00:08:13,050 --> 00:08:19,470 the interdependencies across infrastructure sectors are unlikely to be properly managed 88 00:08:19,470 --> 00:08:22,700 without government intervention. 89 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:26,150 I hope this gave you something to think about. Thank You!